K League 1 · 2026Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan HD 1–3 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 1

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors won 1–3.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.411.34
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jeonbuk Motors beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ulsan Hyundai FC – Jeonbuk Motors): shots 17–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.41–1.34, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ulsan Hyundai FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.41 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ulsan Hyundai FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ulsan Hyundai FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsUlsan Hyundai FC · Jeonbuk Motors14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUlsan Hyundai FCJeonbuk MotorsBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Jeonbuk Motors have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionUlsan Hyundai FC · Jeonbuk Motors● 57.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUlsan Hyundai FCJeonbuk MotorsBaseline
Possession47%57.6%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsUlsan HD 17 shots, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsUlsan HD 5 shots, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.41 xG1.34 xGUlsan HD 2.41 xG, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1.34 xG
  • Possession51%49%Ulsan HD 51%, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 49%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersUlsan HD 2 corners, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsUlsan HD 14 fouls, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ulsan HD
0Draws
4Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Ulsan HD · K League 12–0
Ulsan HD — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 10–2
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Ulsan HD · K League 13–1
Ulsan HD — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors · K League 11–0
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors — Ulsan HD · K League 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD17 matchesJeonbuk Hyundai Motors17 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.47 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/81.36 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/1714.4 shots/match
5.35 shots/matchShots on target17/175.12 shots/match
47%Possession17/17● 57.6%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners17/174.53 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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