K League 1 · 2026Gwangju Football Stadium

Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan HD · K League 1

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gwangju FC and Ulsan HD drew 1–1.

Shots
726
Shots on target
310
Expected goals
0.421.97
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gwangju FC and Ulsan Hyundai FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC): shots 7–26, shots on target 3–10, expected goals 0.42–1.97, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ulsan Hyundai FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Ulsan Hyundai FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsGwangju FC · Ulsan Hyundai FC16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FCBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match16.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots26 shotsGwangju FC 7 shots, Ulsan HD 26 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots10 shotsGwangju FC 3 shots, Ulsan HD 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.42 xG1.97 xGGwangju FC 0.42 xG, Ulsan HD 1.97 xG
  • Possession48%52%Gwangju FC 48%, Ulsan HD 52%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersGwangju FC 3 corners, Ulsan HD 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsGwangju FC 9 fouls, Ulsan HD 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gwangju FC
1Draws
2Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 15–1
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 12–0
Ulsan HD — Gwangju FC · K League 12–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · Korean FA Cup1–0
Gwangju FC — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ulsan HD in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC16 matchesUlsan HD16 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.44 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
0.71 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲ 1.73 xG/match
7.75 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 16.2 shots/match
2.31 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.38 shots/match
45.7%Possession16/16● 46.8%
2.56 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.06 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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