K League 1 · 2026Gimcheon Stadium

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995 drew 1–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.961.35
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Bucheon FC 1995 drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Bucheon FC 1995): shots 18–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.96–1.35, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.82 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsGimcheon Sangmu FC · Bucheon FC 19959.47 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCBucheon FC 1995Baseline
Shots12.6 shots/match9.47 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Gimcheon Sangmu FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionGimcheon Sangmu FC · Bucheon FC 199540%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCBucheon FC 1995Baseline
Possession56.8%40%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsGimcheon Sangmu FC 18 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsGimcheon Sangmu FC 5 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG1.35 xGGimcheon Sangmu FC 1.96 xG, Bucheon FC 1995 1.35 xG
  • Possession70%30%Gimcheon Sangmu FC 70%, Bucheon FC 1995 30%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersGimcheon Sangmu FC 4 corners, Bucheon FC 1995 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsGimcheon Sangmu FC 9 fouls, Bucheon FC 1995 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0Draws
1Bucheon FC 1995
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 10–2
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Korean FA Cup3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimcheon Sangmu FC favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Bucheon FC 1995 in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimcheon Sangmu FC17 matchesBucheon FC 199517 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored17/170.82 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/101.07 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/179.47 shots/match
3.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession17/1740%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners17/173.29 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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