K League 1 · 2026Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan HD 0–1 Pohang Steelers · K League 1

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Pohang Steelers won 0–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.081.74
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pohang Steelers beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ulsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers): shots 17–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.08–1.74, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ulsan Hyundai FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Pohang Steelers.

5.9 days ▲Rest daysUlsan Hyundai FC · Pohang Steelers6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUlsan Hyundai FCPohang SteelersBaseline
Rest days5.9 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ulsan Hyundai FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ulsan Hyundai FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsUlsan Hyundai FC · Pohang Steelers11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUlsan Hyundai FCPohang SteelersBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match9.36 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsUlsan HD 17 shots, Pohang Steelers 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsUlsan HD 3 shots, Pohang Steelers 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.74 xGUlsan HD 1.08 xG, Pohang Steelers 1.74 xG
  • Possession52%48%Ulsan HD 52%, Pohang Steelers 48%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersUlsan HD 11 corners, Pohang Steelers 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsUlsan HD 9 fouls, Pohang Steelers 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ulsan HD
2Draws
1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD · K League 11–1
Ulsan HD — Pohang Steelers · K League 11–1
Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD · K League 11–0
Pohang Steelers — Ulsan HD · K League 10–2
Ulsan HD — Pohang Steelers · K League 15–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ulsan HD favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Pohang Steelers in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ulsan HD11 matchesPohang Steelers11 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/91.53 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.8 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.36 shots/match
48.5%Possession11/11● 53.4%
5.27 corners/match ●Corners11/114.73 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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