K League 1 · 2026Sungui Arena Park

Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FC · K League 1

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gangwon FC won 0–1.

Shots
313
Shots on target
04
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gangwon FC beat Incheon United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Incheon United – Gangwon FC): shots 3–13, shots on target 0–4, possession 52%–48%, corners 3–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gangwon FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gangwon FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gangwon FC have a visible away split

moderate

Gangwon FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Incheon United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Incheon United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsIncheon United · Gangwon FC13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIncheon UnitedGangwon FCBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match8.91 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots13 shotsIncheon United 3 shots, Gangwon FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots4 shotsIncheon United 0 shots, Gangwon FC 4 shots
  • Possession52%48%Incheon United 52%, Gangwon FC 48%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersIncheon United 3 corners, Gangwon FC 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsIncheon United 12 fouls, Gangwon FC 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Incheon United
1Draws
3Gangwon FC
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 11–3
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 10–1
Gangwon FC — Incheon United · K League 14–1
Gangwon FC — Incheon United · K League 11–1
Incheon United — Gangwon FC · K League 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Incheon United favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Gangwon FC in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Incheon United11 matchesGangwon FC11 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.27 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/61.46 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.09 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession11/1151.5%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.91 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1116.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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