K League 1 · 2026Seoul World Cup Stadium

FC Seoul 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 1

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 2–3.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.470.97
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimcheon Sangmu FC beat FC Seoul 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Seoul – Gimcheon Sangmu FC): shots 14–13, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.47–0.97, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a visible away split

moderate

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Seoul, Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

7 days ▲Rest daysFC Seoul · Gimcheon Sangmu FC6.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FCBaseline
Rest days7 days6.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsFC Seoul 14 shots, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFC Seoul 5 shots, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.97 xGFC Seoul 1.47 xG, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.97 xG
  • Possession62%38%FC Seoul 62%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 38%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFC Seoul 6 corners, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsFC Seoul 10 fouls, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Seoul
1Draws
2Gimcheon Sangmu FC
FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 11–3
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 16–2
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 10–1
FC Seoul — Gimcheon Sangmu FC · K League 10–0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Seoul · K League 11–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Seoul favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Gimcheon Sangmu FC in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Seoul11 matchesGimcheon Sangmu FC11 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/101.31 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots11/1112.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession11/1155.4%
4.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.18 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 09:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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