PitchMath
K League 1 · 2026Gwangju Football Stadium

Gwangju FC 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995 · K League 1

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bucheon FC 1995 won 0–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.710.79
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bucheon FC 1995 beat Gwangju FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Gwangju FC – Bucheon FC 1995): shots 12–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.71–0.79, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gwangju FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gwangju FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsGwangju FC 12 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsGwangju FC 3 shots, Bucheon FC 1995 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.79 xGGwangju FC 0.71 xG, Bucheon FC 1995 0.79 xG
  • Possession50%50%Gwangju FC 50%, Bucheon FC 1995 50%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerGwangju FC 3 corners, Bucheon FC 1995 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls4 foulsGwangju FC 10 fouls, Bucheon FC 1995 4 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gwangju FC
0Draws
0Bucheon FC 1995
Bucheon FC 1995 — Gwangju FC · Korean FA Cup1–2
Gwangju FC — Bucheon FC 1995 · Korean FA Cup2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gwangju FC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bucheon FC 1995 in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gwangju FC7 matchesBucheon FC 19957 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/60.9 xG/match
8.57 shots/matchShots7/78.86 shots/match
2.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
50% ●Possession7/744%
2.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 3.43 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
CompetitionK League 1
Head-to-headGwangju FC — Bucheon FC 1995
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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