K League 1 · 2026Bucheon Stadium

Bucheon FC 1995 2–2 Incheon United · K League 1

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bucheon FC 1995 and Incheon United drew 2–2.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.131.23
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bucheon FC 1995 and Incheon United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bucheon FC 1995 – Incheon United): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.13–1.23, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bucheon FC 1995's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bucheon FC 1995 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bucheon FC 1995's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBucheon FC 1995 · Incheon United12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBucheon FC 1995Incheon UnitedBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bucheon FC 1995 have a visible home split

weak

Bucheon FC 1995's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsBucheon FC 1995 14 shots, Incheon United 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBucheon FC 1995 6 shots, Incheon United 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.23 xGBucheon FC 1995 1.13 xG, Incheon United 1.23 xG
  • Possession46%54%Bucheon FC 1995 46%, Incheon United 54%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersBucheon FC 1995 2 corners, Incheon United 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsBucheon FC 1995 11 fouls, Incheon United 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bucheon FC 1995 favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Incheon United in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bucheon FC 19958 matchesIncheon United8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.82 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 3.88 shots/match
44.3%Possession8/8● 54.4%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.75 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in K League 1

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