Eliteserien · 2026Brann Stadion

SK Brann 2–3 Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vålerenga IF won 2–3.

Shots
1618
Shots on target
712
Expected goals
2.372.34
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vålerenga IF beat SK Brann 3–2. Recorded in this match (SK Brann – Vålerenga IF): shots 16–18, shots on target 7–12, expected goals 2.37–2.34, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vålerenga IF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vålerenga IF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.53 corners/matchCornersSK Brann · Vålerenga IF● 7.07 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSK BrannVålerenga IFBaseline
Corners6.53 corners/match7.07 corners/match5.14 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Vålerenga IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vålerenga IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsSK Brann · Vålerenga IF16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSK BrannVålerenga IFBaseline
Shots13 shots/match16 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots18 shotsSK Brann 16 shots, Vålerenga IF 18 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots12 shotsSK Brann 7 shots, Vålerenga IF 12 shots
  • Expected goals2.37 xG2.34 xGSK Brann 2.37 xG, Vålerenga IF 2.34 xG
  • Possession71%29%SK Brann 71%, Vålerenga IF 29%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersSK Brann 10 corners, Vålerenga IF 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls24 foulsSK Brann 10 fouls, Vålerenga IF 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsSK Brann 0 cards, Vålerenga IF 4 cards
  • Passes640 passes259 passesSK Brann 640 passes, Vålerenga IF 259 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.3%66%SK Brann 83.3%, Vålerenga IF 66%
  • Shots inside box12 shots13 shotsSK Brann 12 shots, Vålerenga IF 13 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksSK Brann 6 blocks, Vålerenga IF 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves9 saves5 savesSK Brann 9 saves, Vålerenga IF 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesSK Brann 3 offsides, Vålerenga IF 4 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kolbeinn Finnsson · Vålerenga IF · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Bjørdal · Vålerenga IF · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHenrik Bjørdal · Vålerenga IF · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Kiil Olsen · Vålerenga IF · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFilip Thorvaldsen · Vålerenga IF · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Haren · Vålerenga IF · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarl Lange · Vålerenga IF · 41′ · 0.03 xG · goalJoachim Soltvedt · SK Brann · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ofkir · Vålerenga IF · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoachim Soltvedt · SK Brann · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVetle Dragsnes · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Haren · Vålerenga IF · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarl Lange · Vålerenga IF · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Jarl · Vålerenga IF · 35′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFelix Horn Myhre · SK Brann · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Soltvedt · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 75′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDenzel De Roeve · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathias Grundetjern · Vålerenga IF · 24′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNoah Jean Holm · SK Brann · 80′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Soltvedt · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDenzel De Roeve · SK Brann · 76′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLucas Haren · Vålerenga IF · 2′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFilip Thorvaldsen · Vålerenga IF · 48′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEggert Aron Guðmundsson · SK Brann · 73′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLucas Haren · Vålerenga IF · 45′ · 0.16 xG · goalMathias Grundetjern · Vålerenga IF · 2′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIvan Näsberg · Vålerenga IF · 48′ · 0.22 xG · on targetNoah Jean Holm · SK Brann · 69′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHenrik Bjørdal · Vålerenga IF · 24′ · 0.25 xG · goalFelix Horn Myhre · SK Brann · 77′ · 0.44 xG · goalNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 65′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SK Brann: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.45 xG. Vålerenga IF: 18 shots, 12 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Niklas Castro · SK Brann · 65′Felix Horn Myhre · SK Brann · 77′Henrik Bjørdal · Vålerenga IF · 24′Carl Lange · Vålerenga IF · 41′Lucas Haren · Vålerenga IF · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SK Brann 2.45 xG · Vålerenga IF 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SK Brann
0Draws
1Vålerenga IF
SK Brann — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien3–2
Vålerenga IF — SK Brann · Eliteserien2–4
Vålerenga IF — SK Brann · Eliteserien1–2
SK Brann — Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien3–1
Vålerenga IF — SK Brann · Eliteserien1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SK Brann favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Vålerenga IF in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SK Brann15 matchesVålerenga IF14 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/141.57 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/141.71 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.5 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots15/14▲ 16 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target15/14▲ 5.71 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession15/1449.2%
6.53 corners/matchCorners15/14● 7.07 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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