Eliteserien · 2026Brann Stadion

SK Brann 3–2 Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SK Brann won 3–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.781.93
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

SK Brann beat Rosenborg BK 3–2. Recorded in this match (SK Brann – Rosenborg BK): shots 12–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.78–1.93, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg BK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosenborg BK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.44 corners/match ●CornersSK Brann · Rosenborg BK6.27 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSK BrannRosenborg BKBaseline
Corners6.44 corners/match6.27 corners/match5.03 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rosenborg BK have a visible away split

moderate

Rosenborg BK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsSK Brann 12 shots, Rosenborg BK 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsSK Brann 5 shots, Rosenborg BK 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.93 xGSK Brann 0.78 xG, Rosenborg BK 1.93 xG
  • Possession52%48%SK Brann 52%, Rosenborg BK 48%
  • Corners5 corners12 cornersSK Brann 5 corners, Rosenborg BK 12 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsSK Brann 10 fouls, Rosenborg BK 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSK Brann 2 cards, Rosenborg BK 3 cards
  • Passes434 passes393 passesSK Brann 434 passes, Rosenborg BK 393 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.7%72.8%SK Brann 76.7%, Rosenborg BK 72.8%
  • Shots inside box10 shots12 shotsSK Brann 10 shots, Rosenborg BK 12 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksSK Brann 3 blocks, Rosenborg BK 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesSK Brann 4 saves, Rosenborg BK 2 saves

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonas Svensson · Rosenborg BK · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIver Fossum · Rosenborg BK · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMads Bomholt · Rosenborg BK · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenzel De Roeve · SK Brann · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Konradsen Ceide · Rosenborg BK · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrian Nilsen Pereira · Rosenborg BK · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDenzel De Roeve · SK Brann · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoah Jean Holm · SK Brann · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Nilsen Pereira · Rosenborg BK · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Horn Myhre · SK Brann · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoachim Soltvedt · SK Brann · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristall Máni Ingason · SK Brann · 75′ · 0.04 xG · goalMads Bomholt · Rosenborg BK · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmin Chiakha · Rosenborg BK · 34′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNoah Jean Holm · SK Brann · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristian Eriksen · SK Brann · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 14′ · 0.08 xG · goalEmil Konradsen Ceide · Rosenborg BK · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmin Chiakha · Rosenborg BK · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIver Fossum · Rosenborg BK · 5′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNoah Jean Holm · SK Brann · 74′ · 0.16 xG · on targetNiklas Castro · SK Brann · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAmin Chiakha · Rosenborg BK · 84′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedIver Fossum · Rosenborg BK · 67′ · 0.30 xG · goalAmin Chiakha · Rosenborg BK · 62′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SK Brann: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. Rosenborg BK: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.94 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Niklas Castro · SK Brann · 14′Kristall Máni Ingason · SK Brann · 75′Kristian Eriksen · SK Brann · 90′Amin Chiakha · Rosenborg BK · 62′Iver Fossum · Rosenborg BK · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SK Brann 0.77 xG · Rosenborg BK 1.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3SK Brann
2Draws
0Rosenborg BK
Rosenborg BK — SK Brann · Eliteserien1–1
Rosenborg BK — SK Brann · Eliteserien2–3
SK Brann — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien0–0
Rosenborg BK — SK Brann · Eliteserien1–2
SK Brann — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SK Brann favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SK Brann16 matchesRosenborg BK15 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/151.4 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/151.37 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/1512.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/154.33 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession16/1552.3%
6.44 corners/match ●Corners16/156.27 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1511.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

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