PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Strawberry Arena

AIK 1–0 Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan

AIK

WD
1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AIK won 1–0.

Shots
918
Shots on target
63
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

AIK Stockholm beat Kalmar FF 1–0. Recorded in this match (AIK Stockholm – Kalmar FF): shots 9–18, shots on target 6–3, possession 47%–53%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kalmar FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kalmar FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsAIK Stockholm · Kalmar FF14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAIK StockholmKalmar FFBaseline
Shots16 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsAIK 9 shots, Kalmar FF 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAIK 6 shots, Kalmar FF 3 shots
  • Possession47%53%AIK 47%, Kalmar FF 53%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAIK 4 corners, Kalmar FF 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsAIK 12 fouls, Kalmar FF 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsAIK 3 cards, Kalmar FF 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AIK
2Draws
2Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF — AIK · Allsvenskan0–1
AIK — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–2
Kalmar FF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1
AIK — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–1
Kalmar FF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK3 matchesKalmar FF3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots3/314.7 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
53% ●Possession3/346.7%
5 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.67 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAIKKalmar FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headAIK — Kalmar FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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