PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Newell's Old Boys vs Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Lanús

LDLWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.961.11
Expected goals
0.91.36
Shots
10.112.6
Possession
43.9%51.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: newell's Old Boys's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: newell's Old Boys's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Newell's Old Boys's recent record differs from the season

weak

Newell's Old Boys's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newell's Old Boys have a visible home split

moderate

Newell's Old Boys's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newell's Old Boys favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Lanús in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newell's Old Boys27 matchesLanús28 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/28▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed27/28▲ 0.93 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 1.36 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots27/28▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target27/28▲ 4.36 shots/match
43.9%Possession27/28● 51.7%
3.78 corners/matchCorners27/28● 4.21 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/72.57 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls27/2812.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newell's Old Boys
0Draws
1Lanús
Lanús — Newell's Old Boys · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewell's Old BoysLanús
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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