PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.880.8
Expected goals
0.80.89
Shots
11.610.4
Possession
44%42.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Barracas Central's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Tucumán favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Barracas Central in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Tucumán25 matchesBarracas Central25 matches
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.8 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 0.89 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2510.4 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target25/253.4 shots/match
44% ●Possession25/2542.2%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners25/252.52 corners/match
3.45 cards/matchCards11/112.09 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Tucumán
0Draws
1Barracas Central
Barracas Central — Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético TucumánBarracas Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required