PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima 1–1 Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima and Atlético Tucumán drew 1–1.

Shots
268
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.780.3
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia y Esgrima and Atlético Tucumán drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia y Esgrima – Atlético Tucumán): shots 26–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.78–0.3, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima have a visible home split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots8 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 26 shots, Atlético Tucumán 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 6 shots, Atlético Tucumán 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.3 xGGimnasia y Esgrima 1.78 xG, Atlético Tucumán 0.3 xG
  • Possession61%39%Gimnasia y Esgrima 61%, Atlético Tucumán 39%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersGimnasia y Esgrima 10 corners, Atlético Tucumán 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima 8 fouls, Atlético Tucumán 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsGimnasia y Esgrima 2 cards, Atlético Tucumán 4 cards
  • Passes428 passes285 passesGimnasia y Esgrima 428 passes, Atlético Tucumán 285 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.1%60.4%Gimnasia y Esgrima 77.1%, Atlético Tucumán 60.4%
  • Shots inside box12 shots5 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 12 shots, Atlético Tucumán 5 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks5 blocksGimnasia y Esgrima 8 blocks, Atlético Tucumán 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesGimnasia y Esgrima 1 save, Atlético Tucumán 5 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides5 offsidesGimnasia y Esgrima 0 offsides, Atlético Tucumán 5 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gimnasia y Esgrima
0Draws
1Atlético Tucumán
Atlético Tucumán — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Tucumán in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima31 matchesAtlético Tucumán28 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/280.89 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed31/28▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/120.74 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots31/2811.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/283.39 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession31/2843.7%
4.03 corners/matchCorners31/28● 5.07 corners/match
3.27 cards/matchCards11/113.45 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/2812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y EsgrimaAtlético Tucumán
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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