PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Aldosivi 1–3 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 1–3.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.791.71
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento beat Aldosivi 3–1. Recorded in this match (Aldosivi – Sarmiento): shots 14–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.79–1.71, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aldosivi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsAldosivi 14 shots, Sarmiento 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAldosivi 4 shots, Sarmiento 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.71 xGAldosivi 0.79 xG, Sarmiento 1.71 xG
  • Possession49%51%Aldosivi 49%, Sarmiento 51%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerAldosivi 6 corners, Sarmiento 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsAldosivi 17 fouls, Sarmiento 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsAldosivi 5 cards, Sarmiento 3 cards
  • Passes324 passes346 passesAldosivi 324 passes, Sarmiento 346 passes
  • Pass accuracy65.4%71.4%Aldosivi 65.4%, Sarmiento 71.4%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsAldosivi 9 shots, Sarmiento 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockAldosivi 4 blocks, Sarmiento 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesAldosivi 0 saves, Sarmiento 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesAldosivi 1 offside, Sarmiento 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Aldosivi
0Draws
1Sarmiento
Sarmiento — Aldosivi · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aldosivi favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aldosivi28 matchesSarmiento28 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.36 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.6 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 3.75 shots/match
43.1%Possession28/28● 44.8%
4.21 corners/match ●Corners28/283.61 corners/match
3.54 cards/matchCards13/124.25 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAldosiviSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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