PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.681.11
Expected goals
0.891.29
Shots
1210.5
Possession
42.1%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Aldosivi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aldosivi favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aldosivi25 matchesSarmiento27 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored25/27▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed25/271.37 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲ 1.29 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots25/2710.5 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target25/27▲ 3.78 shots/match
42.1%Possession25/27● 44.6%
4.16 corners/match ●Corners25/273.7 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards12/124.25 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls25/2713 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Aldosivi
0Draws
1Sarmiento
Sarmiento — Aldosivi · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAldosiviSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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