PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia and Gimnasia y Esgrima drew 1–1.

Shots
2115
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.611.83
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Rivadavia and Gimnasia y Esgrima drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente Rivadavia – Gimnasia y Esgrima): shots 21–15, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.61–1.83, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Rivadavia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Rivadavia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Rivadavia · Gimnasia y Esgrima11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente RivadaviaGimnasia y EsgrimaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match15 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gimnasia y Esgrima have a visible away split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.63 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots15 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 21 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 6 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG1.83 xGIndependiente Rivadavia 1.61 xG, Gimnasia y Esgrima 1.83 xG
  • Possession47%53%Independiente Rivadavia 47%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 53%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 5 corners, Gimnasia y Esgrima 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 fouls, Gimnasia y Esgrima 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 2 cards, Gimnasia y Esgrima 2 cards
  • Passes386 passes426 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 386 passes, Gimnasia y Esgrima 426 passes
  • Pass accuracy75.1%79.1%Independiente Rivadavia 75.1%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 79.1%
  • Shots inside box15 shots11 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 15 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 11 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 1 block, Gimnasia y Esgrima 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 3 saves, Gimnasia y Esgrima 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideIndependiente Rivadavia 2 offsides, Gimnasia y Esgrima 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Rivadavia
0Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima
Gimnasia y Esgrima — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia28 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima30 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/301.2 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/301.23 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131.56 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/3011.7 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/303.87 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession28/3044.8%
4.21 corners/match ●Corners28/303.83 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/113.27 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls28/3011.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaGimnasia y Esgrima
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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