PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

CA Independiente 1–4 Instituto De Córdoba · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Instituto De Córdoba won 1–4.

Shots
813
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.441.56
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Instituto De Córdoba beat CA Independiente 4–1. Recorded in this match (CA Independiente – Instituto De Córdoba): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.44–1.56, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Instituto De Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Instituto De Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.9 corners/match ●CornersCA Independiente · Instituto De Córdoba5.41 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCA IndependienteInstituto De CórdobaBaseline
Corners5.9 corners/match5.41 corners/match4.22 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsCA Independiente 8 shots, Instituto De Córdoba 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsCA Independiente 2 shots, Instituto De Córdoba 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG1.56 xGCA Independiente 0.44 xG, Instituto De Córdoba 1.56 xG
  • Possession47%53%CA Independiente 47%, Instituto De Córdoba 53%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCA Independiente 3 corners, Instituto De Córdoba 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsCA Independiente 13 fouls, Instituto De Córdoba 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsCA Independiente 4 cards, Instituto De Córdoba 3 cards
  • Passes299 passes335 passesCA Independiente 299 passes, Instituto De Córdoba 335 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.9%80%CA Independiente 74.9%, Instituto De Córdoba 80%
  • Shots inside box4 shots8 shotsCA Independiente 4 shots, Instituto De Córdoba 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksCA Independiente 1 block, Instituto De Córdoba 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveCA Independiente 2 saves, Instituto De Córdoba 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides4 offsidesCA Independiente 0 offsides, Instituto De Córdoba 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CA Independiente
0Draws
1Instituto De Córdoba
Instituto De Córdoba — CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CA Independiente favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Instituto De Córdoba in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CA Independiente30 matchesInstituto De Córdoba29 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/291.17 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed30/29▲ 0.97 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.52 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots30/29▲ 14 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 4.38 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession30/2949.5%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners30/295.41 corners/match
3.18 cards/matchCards11/122.58 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/2913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCA IndependienteInstituto De Córdoba
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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