PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

CA Independiente vs Instituto De Córdoba · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.251
Expected goals
1.011.56
Shots
13.413.9
Possession
52.4%49.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: CA Independiente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.18 corners/match ●CornersCA Independiente · Instituto De Córdoba5.41 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCA IndependienteInstituto De CórdobaBaseline
Corners6.18 corners/match5.41 corners/match4.2 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

CA Independiente's recent record differs from the season

weak

CA Independiente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CA Independiente favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Instituto De Córdoba in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CA Independiente28 matchesInstituto De Córdoba27 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/271 goal/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲ 1.56 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots28/2713.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 4.26 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession28/2749.6%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners28/275.41 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2713.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CA Independiente
0Draws
1Instituto De Córdoba
Instituto De Córdoba — CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCA IndependienteInstituto De Córdoba
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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