Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo 1–0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Lorenzo won 1–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.040.93
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Lorenzo beat Gimnasia M. 1–0. Recorded in this match (San Lorenzo – Gimnasia M.): shots 13–13, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.04–0.93, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Lorenzo.

3 days ▲Rest daysSan Lorenzo · Gimnasia M.5.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan LorenzoGimnasia M.Baseline
Rest days3 days5.01 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

strong

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsSan Lorenzo 13 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsSan Lorenzo 5 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG0.93 xGSan Lorenzo 1.04 xG, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0.93 xG
  • Possession51%49%San Lorenzo 51%, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 49%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSan Lorenzo 4 corners, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsSan Lorenzo 11 fouls, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1San Lorenzo
0Draws
0Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — San Lorenzo · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo21 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza20 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored21/200.85 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/201.35 goals/match
10.4 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target21/203.9 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession21/2044.2%
3.9 corners/match ●Corners21/203.45 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards12/93 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2012.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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