Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Florencio Sola

Banfield 3–2 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Banfield won 3–2.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.772.41
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Banfield beat Sarmiento Junin 3–2. Recorded in this match (Banfield – Sarmiento Junin): shots 16–13, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.77–2.41, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento Junin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Banfield have a visible home split

moderate

Banfield's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sarmiento Junin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sarmiento Junin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBanfield · Sarmiento Junin10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBanfieldSarmiento JuninBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsBanfield 16 shots, Sarmiento 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsBanfield 8 shots, Sarmiento 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG2.41 xGBanfield 1.77 xG, Sarmiento 2.41 xG
  • Possession39%61%Banfield 39%, Sarmiento 61%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersBanfield 4 corners, Sarmiento 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsBanfield 11 fouls, Sarmiento 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Banfield
0Draws
1Sarmiento
Sarmiento — Banfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Banfield favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Banfield18 matchesSarmiento19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/190.89 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/191.42 goals/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots18/1910.2 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/193.58 shots/match
40.8%Possession18/19● 48.5%
3.61 corners/matchCorners18/19● 3.74 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/124.25 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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