Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Claudio Fabian Tapia

Barracas Central 1–0 Aldosivi · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barracas Central won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.40.38
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barracas Central beat Aldosivi 1–0. Recorded in this match (Barracas Central – Aldosivi): shots 10–9, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.4–0.38, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aldosivi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.39 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barracas Central.

3 days ▲Rest daysBarracas Central · Aldosivi5.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBarracas CentralAldosiviBaseline
Rest days3 days5.8 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Barracas Central have a visible home split

moderate

Barracas Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match10 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsBarracas Central 10 shots, Aldosivi 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBarracas Central 4 shots, Aldosivi 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.38 xGBarracas Central 0.4 xG, Aldosivi 0.38 xG
  • Possession52%48%Barracas Central 52%, Aldosivi 48%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersBarracas Central 1 corner, Aldosivi 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsBarracas Central 12 fouls, Aldosivi 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Barracas Central
1Draws
0Aldosivi
Aldosivi — Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barracas Central favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Aldosivi in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barracas Central18 matchesAldosivi18 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.39 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.17 goals/match
10 shots/matchShots18/1810.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/182.61 shots/match
39.1%Possession18/18● 42.4%
1.89 corners/matchCorners18/18● 3.94 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/123.33 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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