Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia y Esgrima 1–0 River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.040.3
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia L.P. beat River Plate 1–0. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia L.P. – River Plate): shots 14–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.04–0.3, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

River Plate show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

River Plate's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsGimnasia L.P. · River Plate16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGimnasia L.P.River PlateBaseline
Shots11 shots/match16.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match8.91 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for River Plate.

4.92 days ▲Rest daysGimnasia L.P. · River Plate3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGimnasia L.P.River PlateBaseline
Rest days4.92 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

River Plate have a visible away split

moderate

River Plate's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match16.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 14 shots, River Plate 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima 3 shots, River Plate 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG0.3 xGGimnasia y Esgrima 2.04 xG, River Plate 0.3 xG
  • Possession26%74%Gimnasia y Esgrima 26%, River Plate 74%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersGimnasia y Esgrima 3 corners, River Plate 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima 11 fouls, River Plate 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gimnasia y Esgrima
0Draws
2River Plate
River Plate — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0
River Plate — Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · River Plate in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima21 matchesRiver Plate22 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/22▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/22▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/61.24 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.62 shots/matchShots on target21/22▲ 5.41 shots/match
44.9%Possession21/22● 66%
3.9 corners/matchCorners21/22● 5.73 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards10/122.75 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2211.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required