Serie A · 2026

Internacional vs Vitória · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.18
Expected goals
1.380.95
Shots
14.712.3
Possession
47.5%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vitoria's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: vitoria's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vitoria's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitoria's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitoria have a visible away split

moderate

Vitoria's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.57 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.57 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vitoria show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vitoria's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional · Vitoria12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalVitoriaBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Vitória in 1 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional28 matchesVitória28 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.18 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.36 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/250.95 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots28/2812.3 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target28/284.21 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession28/2844.1%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners28/284.21 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Internacional
0Draws
3Vitória
Vitória — Internacional · Serie A2–0
Vitória — Internacional · Serie A1–0
Internacional — Vitória · Serie A1–0
Internacional — Vitória · Serie A3–1
Vitória — Internacional · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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