PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Red Bull Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.311.25
Expected goals
1.471.47
Shots
16.917.7
Possession
49.7%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vasco DA Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vasco DA Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco DA Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.9 corners/match ●CornersRB Bragantino · Vasco DA Gama5.89 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRB BragantinoVasco DA GamaBaseline
Corners5.9 corners/match5.89 corners/match5.21 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 4 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino29 matchesVasco da Gama28 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored29/281.25 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.46 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals25/241.47 xG/match
16.9 shots/matchShots29/2817.7 shots/match
5.48 shots/matchShots on target29/285.5 shots/match
49.7%Possession29/28● 54%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners29/285.89 corners/match
4.8 cards/matchCards5/41.75 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls29/2813 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Red Bull Bragantino
1Draws
1Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–3
Red Bull Bragantino — Vasco da Gama · Serie A0–3
Vasco da Gama — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–2
Vasco da Gama — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–2
Red Bull Bragantino — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headRed Bull Bragantino — Vasco da Gama
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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