PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Coritiba vs Vitória · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.421.08
Expected goals
0.940.88
Shots
11.112
Possession
39.8%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vitoria's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: vitoria's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vitoria's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitoria's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitoria have a visible away split

moderate

Vitoria's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.38 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.38 shots/match12 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Vitória in 8 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba26 matchesVitória26 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.08 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/230.88 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.15 shots/match
39.8%Possession26/26● 43.8%
3.73 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.35 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
0Draws
1Vitória
Vitória — Coritiba · Serie A4–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaVitória
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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