Vitória vs Chapecoense — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

Vitória

WLLWD

vsPre-match analysis

Chapecoense

DWLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.081.04
Expected goals: 0.890.96
Shots: 11.613.2
Possession: 43.8%43%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: vitória's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Chapecoense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chapecoense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.04 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible home split

moderate

Vitória's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória25 matchesChapecoense25 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.04 goals/match

1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 0.96 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.2 shots/match

4 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.52 shots/match

43.8% ●Possession25/2543%

4.2 corners/match ●Corners25/254.04 corners/match

2.75 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match

13.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória

1Draws

1Chapecoense

5 Apr 2026Chapecoense — Vitória · Serie A1–1

25 Nov 2023Chapecoense — Vitória · Serie B3–1

24 Jul 2023Vitória — Chapecoense · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows