PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

São Paulo 1–0 Internacional · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–0.

Shots
613
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
1.010.67
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Internacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Internacional): shots 6–13, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 1.01–0.67, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.77 corners/match ●CornersSão Paulo · Internacional6.19 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloInternacionalBaseline
Corners6.77 corners/match6.19 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

weak

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.19 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsSão Paulo 6 shots, Internacional 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotSão Paulo 1 shot, Internacional 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.01 xG0.67 xGSão Paulo 1.01 xG, Internacional 0.67 xG
  • Possession44%56%São Paulo 44%, Internacional 56%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 3 corners, Internacional 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsSão Paulo 15 fouls, Internacional 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsSão Paulo 1 card, Internacional 3 cards
  • Passes397 passes494 passesSão Paulo 397 passes, Internacional 494 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.1%85.8%São Paulo 80.1%, Internacional 85.8%
  • Shots inside box4 shots5 shotsSão Paulo 4 shots, Internacional 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksSão Paulo 3 blocks, Internacional 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesSão Paulo 1 save, Internacional 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesSão Paulo 1 offside, Internacional 5 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2São Paulo
2Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A1–1
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A3–0
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A1–2
São Paulo — Internacional · Serie A1–3
Internacional — São Paulo · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Internacional in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo26 matchesInternacional26 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.27 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target26/264.27 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession26/2648.8%
6.77 corners/match ●Corners26/266.19 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloInternacional
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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