PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estadio Evandro Almeida

Remo 1–2 Athletico · Serie A

Remo

LLWDW
1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–2.

Shots
316
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.341.97
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Paranaense beat remo 2–1. Recorded in this match (remo – Atletico Paranaense): shots 3–16, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.34–1.97, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Paranaense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Paranaense's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

remo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

remo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲Shotsremo · Atletico Paranaense12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricremoAtletico ParanaenseBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots16 shotsRemo 3 shots, Athletico 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsRemo 2 shots, Athletico 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.34 xG1.97 xGRemo 0.34 xG, Athletico 1.97 xG
  • Possession44%56%Remo 44%, Athletico 56%
  • Corners3 corners10 cornersRemo 3 corners, Athletico 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsRemo 9 fouls, Athletico 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Remo
0Draws
1Athletico
Remo — Athletico · Serie B2–1
Athletico — Remo · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Athletico in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo17 matchesAthletico17 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.2 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots17/1712.2 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5 shots/match
42.8%Possession17/17● 48.4%
4.41 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.12 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRemoAthletico
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headRemo — Athletico
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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