Serie A · 2026

Flamengo 2–2 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo and Vasco da Gama drew 2–2.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.141.53
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo and Vasco DA Gama drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Vasco DA Gama): shots 12–20, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.14–1.53, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vasco DA Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vasco DA Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Vasco DA Gama17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoVasco DA GamaBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match17.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Flamengo have a visible home split

moderate

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsFlamengo 12 shots, Vasco da Gama 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsFlamengo 6 shots, Vasco da Gama 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.53 xGFlamengo 2.14 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.53 xG
  • Possession49%51%Flamengo 49%, Vasco da Gama 51%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersFlamengo 5 corners, Vasco da Gama 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsFlamengo 15 fouls, Vasco da Gama 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo
3Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Flamengo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1
Vasco da Gama — Flamengo · Serie A0–0
Flamengo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1
Vasco da Gama — Flamengo · Serie A1–6
Flamengo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo13 matchesVasco da Gama14 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/141.43 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/141.5 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.34 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 17.9 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5.43 shots/match
52.9%Possession13/14● 53.5%
3.85 corners/matchCorners13/14● 5.64 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/41.75 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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