Serie A · 2026Estadio Evandro Almeida

Remo 4–1 Bahia · Serie A

Remo

DDLLL
4–1Full-time analysis

Bahia

DWDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Remo won 4–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
1.511.4
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

remo beat Bahia 4–1. Recorded in this match (remo – Bahia): shots 16–11, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 1.51–1.4, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for remo, Bahia.

2.83 days ▲Rest daysremo · Bahia3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricremoBahiaBaseline
Rest days2.83 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bahia have a visible away split

weak

Bahia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match12 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

remo's recent record differs from the season

weak

remo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsRemo 16 shots, Bahia 11 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsRemo 10 shots, Bahia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG1.4 xGRemo 1.51 xG, Bahia 1.4 xG
  • Possession38%62%Remo 38%, Bahia 62%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersRemo 5 corners, Bahia 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsRemo 15 fouls, Bahia 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Remo favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Bahia in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Remo8 matchesBahia7 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/71.29 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1 goal/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.55 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/712 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 5 shots/match
42.6%Possession8/7● 50%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/7● 5.71 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/34 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/714.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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