PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Barradao

Vitória 1–2 Flamengo · Serie A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 1–2.

Shots
106
Shots on target
32
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Vitoria 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vitoria – Flamengo): shots 10–6, shots on target 3–2, possession 44%–56%, corners 7–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionVitoria · Flamengo● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVitoriaFlamengoBaseline
Possession42%60%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsVitória 10 shots, Flamengo 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVitória 3 shots, Flamengo 2 shots
  • Possession44%56%Vitória 44%, Flamengo 56%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersVitória 7 corners, Flamengo 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsVitória 12 fouls, Flamengo 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsVitória 3 cards, Flamengo 4 cards
  • Passes330 passes438 passesVitória 330 passes, Flamengo 438 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%80%Vitória 75%, Flamengo 80%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsVitória 8 shots, Flamengo 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockVitória 5 blocks, Flamengo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesVitória 0 saves, Flamengo 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesVitória 2 offsides, Flamengo 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
1Draws
3Flamengo
Flamengo — Vitória · Serie A8–0
Vitória — Flamengo · Serie A1–2
Flamengo — Vitória · Serie A2–2
Vitória — Flamengo · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória3 matchesFlamengo3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots3/313.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
42%Possession3/3● 60%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/317.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaFlamengo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headVitória — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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