PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estádio Beira-Rio

Internacional 1–3 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–3.

Shots
2611
Shots on target
47
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Internacional 3–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Palmeiras): shots 26–11, shots on target 4–7, possession 62%–38%, corners 16–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Internacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional · Palmeiras14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalPalmeirasBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

11 corners/match ●CornersInternacional · Palmeiras5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalPalmeirasBaseline
Corners11 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots11 shotsInternacional 26 shots, Palmeiras 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsInternacional 4 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Possession62%38%Internacional 62%, Palmeiras 38%
  • Corners16 corners4 cornersInternacional 16 corners, Palmeiras 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsInternacional 13 fouls, Palmeiras 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardInternacional 1 card, Palmeiras 1 card
  • Passes473 passes302 passesInternacional 473 passes, Palmeiras 302 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%80%Internacional 87%, Palmeiras 80%
  • Shots inside box18 shots7 shotsInternacional 18 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Blocked shots13 blocks1 blockInternacional 13 blocks, Palmeiras 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesInternacional 4 saves, Palmeiras 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesInternacional 1 offside, Palmeiras 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Internacional
1Draws
3Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Internacional · Serie A4–1
Internacional — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1
Internacional — Palmeiras · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Internacional · Serie A0–1
Palmeiras — Internacional · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional3 matchesPalmeiras3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots3/314 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7.33 shots/match
56% ●Possession3/348.7%
11 corners/match ●Corners3/35.67 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInternacional — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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