PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Estádio do Maracanã

Fluminense 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 1–0.

Shots
105
Shots on target
53
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Botafogo): shots 10–5, shots on target 5–3, possession 49%–51%, corners 4–0. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsFluminense · Botafogo8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseBotafogoBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsFluminense 10 shots, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsFluminense 5 shots, Botafogo 3 shots
  • Possession49%51%Fluminense 49%, Botafogo 51%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersFluminense 4 corners, Botafogo 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsFluminense 18 fouls, Botafogo 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsFluminense 5 cards, Botafogo 3 cards
  • Passes332 passes351 passesFluminense 332 passes, Botafogo 351 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%80%Fluminense 80%, Botafogo 80%
  • Shots inside box8 shots3 shotsFluminense 8 shots, Botafogo 3 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block0 blocksFluminense 1 block, Botafogo 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesFluminense 3 saves, Botafogo 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFluminense 1 offside, Botafogo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fluminense
0Draws
4Botafogo
Fluminense — Botafogo · Serie A2–0
Botafogo — Fluminense · Serie A2–0
Fluminense — Botafogo · Serie A0–1
Botafogo — Fluminense · Serie A1–0
Fluminense — Botafogo · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense3 matchesBotafogo3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots3/38 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
53% ●Possession3/351%
3.67 corners/match ●Corners3/31.67 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseBotafogo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFluminense — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required