Serie A · 2026Arena da Baixada

Athletico 2–1 Santos · Serie A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 2–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Paranaense beat Santos 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atletico Paranaense – Santos): shots 12–10, shots on target 5–5, possession 57%–43%, corners 8–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Paranaense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atletico Paranaense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico ParanaenseSantosBaseline
Shots—15.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against—9.67 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsAthletico 12 shots, Santos 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAthletico 5 shots, Santos 5 shots
  • Possession57%43%Athletico 57%, Santos 43%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersAthletico 8 corners, Santos 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsAthletico 15 fouls, Santos 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAthletico 1 card, Santos 3 cards
  • Passes399 passes307 passesAthletico 399 passes, Santos 307 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%79%Athletico 80%, Santos 79%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsAthletico 9 shots, Santos 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksAthletico 5 blocks, Santos 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesAthletico 4 saves, Santos 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesAthletico 1 offside, Santos 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
2Draws
1Santos
Athletico — Santos · Serie A3–0
Santos — Athletico · Serie A1–1
Santos — Athletico · Serie A2–0
Athletico — Santos · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 match

Athletico / Santos

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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