PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors 1–1 CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Boca Juniors and CA Independiente drew 1–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
51
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Boca Juniors and Independiente drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Boca Juniors – Independiente): shots 12–9, shots on target 5–1, possession 61%–39%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Independiente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersBoca Juniors · Independiente● 6.27 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBoca JuniorsIndependienteBaseline
Corners5 corners/match6.27 corners/match4.11 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Independiente have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsBoca Juniors 12 shots, CA Independiente 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotBoca Juniors 5 shots, CA Independiente 1 shot
  • Possession61%39%Boca Juniors 61%, CA Independiente 39%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersBoca Juniors 3 corners, CA Independiente 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsBoca Juniors 7 fouls, CA Independiente 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsBoca Juniors 0 cards, CA Independiente 3 cards
  • Passes547 passes342 passesBoca Juniors 547 passes, CA Independiente 342 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%70%Boca Juniors 84%, CA Independiente 70%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsBoca Juniors 9 shots, CA Independiente 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksBoca Juniors 2 blocks, CA Independiente 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesBoca Juniors 1 save, CA Independiente 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesBoca Juniors 2 offsides, CA Independiente 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boca Juniors favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boca Juniors15 matchesCA Independiente15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 3.93 shots/match
61.4% ●Possession15/1552.4%
5 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.27 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/92.89 cards/match
8.47 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBoca JuniorsCA Independiente
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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