PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Antonio Candini

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 Barracas Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barracas Central won 1–2.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
45
Possession
75%25%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barracas Central beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Barracas Central): shots 16–11, shots on target 4–5, possession 75%–25%, corners 6–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barracas Central's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Barracas Central's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a visible home split

moderate

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5% ●PossessionEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Barracas Central38.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de Rio CuartoBarracas CentralBaseline
Possession48.5%38.2%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 shots, Barracas Central 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 4 shots, Barracas Central 5 shots
  • Possession75%25%Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 75%, Barracas Central 25%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 6 corners, Barracas Central 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls20 foulsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 12 fouls, Barracas Central 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 1 card, Barracas Central 3 cards
  • Passes561 passes191 passesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 561 passes, Barracas Central 191 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%59%Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 86%, Barracas Central 59%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 9 shots, Barracas Central 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 3 blocks, Barracas Central 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 3 saves, Barracas Central 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 3 offsides, Barracas Central 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Barracas Central in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto13 matchesBarracas Central13 matches
0.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/139.46 shots/match
2.23 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.38 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession13/1338.2%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners13/131.92 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards8/92.22 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de Río CuartoBarracas Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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