Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia 3–1 Argentinos Juniors · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 3–1.

Shots
117
Shots on target
71
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independ. Rivadavia beat Argentinos JRS 3–1. Recorded in this match (Independ. Rivadavia – Argentinos JRS): shots 11–7, shots on target 7–1, possession 45%–55%, corners 5–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Argentinos JRS's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Argentinos JRS's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Argentinos JRS have a visible away split

moderate

Argentinos JRS's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Argentinos JRS have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionIndepend. Rivadavia · Argentinos JRS● 63.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaArgentinos JRSBaseline
Possession45.2%63.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 11 shots, Argentinos Juniors 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotIndependiente Rivadavia 7 shots, Argentinos Juniors 1 shot
  • Possession45%55%Independiente Rivadavia 45%, Argentinos Juniors 55%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 5 corners, Argentinos Juniors 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 13 fouls, Argentinos Juniors 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 4 cards, Argentinos Juniors 4 cards
  • Passes325 passes395 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 325 passes, Argentinos Juniors 395 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%83%Independiente Rivadavia 79%, Argentinos Juniors 83%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Argentinos Juniors 4 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks0 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 0 blocks, Argentinos Juniors 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 1 save, Argentinos Juniors 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesIndependiente Rivadavia 2 offsides, Argentinos Juniors 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Argentinos Juniors in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia13 matchesArgentinos Juniors13 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
13.4 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.2 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on target13/134.92 shots/match
45.2%Possession13/13● 63.8%
3.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.54 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/71.71 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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