Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al Najma 1–0 Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al Najma won 1–0.

Shots
127
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.660.88
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Najma beat Al Shabab 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – Al Shabab): shots 12–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.66–0.88, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Shabab.

6.09 days ▲Rest daysAl Najma · Al Shabab3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl NajmaAl ShababBaseline
Rest days6.09 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al Shabab's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al Shabab show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Shabab's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.21 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Najma · Al Shabab12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaAl ShababBaseline
Shots9.21 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsAl Najma 12 shots, Al-Shabab 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAl Najma 4 shots, Al-Shabab 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.88 xGAl Najma 1.66 xG, Al-Shabab 0.88 xG
  • Possession36%64%Al Najma 36%, Al-Shabab 64%
  • Corners8 corners9 cornersAl Najma 8 corners, Al-Shabab 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsAl Najma 13 fouls, Al-Shabab 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsAl Najma 5 cards, Al-Shabab 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdulaziz Al Harabi · Al Najma · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRakan Al-Tulayhi · Al Najma · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWesley Hoedt · Al Shabab · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelippe Cardoso · Al Najma · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdulaziz Al Harabi · Al Najma · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Matuq · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Al Najma · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Tijanič · Al Najma · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaroune Camara · Al Shabab · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFelippe Cardoso · Al Najma · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Al Najma · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al Fatil · Al Najma · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKhalid Al-Shammari · Al Najma · 24′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAli Al-Bulaihi · Al Shabab · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLázaro · Al Najma · 72′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHaroune Camara · Al Shabab · 15′ · 0.67 xG · on targetLázaro · Al Najma · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Najma: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG. Al Shabab: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lázaro · Al Najma · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Najma 1.43 xG · Al Shabab 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al Najma
1Draws
0Al-Shabab
Al-Shabab — Al Najma · Saudi Pro League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma34 matchesAl-Shabab34 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.68 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.56 xG/match
9.21 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.06 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.79 shots/match
45%Possession34/34● 48.8%
3.71 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.38 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards27/272.37 cards/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 May 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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