Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadsiah 2–2 Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah and Al-Shabab drew 2–2.

Shots
2612
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
2.993.55
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Shabab drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al Shabab): shots 26–12, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 2.99–3.55, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Shabab's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2% ●PossessionAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al Shabab47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCAl ShababBaseline
Possession60.2%47.8%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots12 shotsAl-Qadsiah 26 shots, Al-Shabab 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsAl-Qadsiah 8 shots, Al-Shabab 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.99 xG3.55 xGAl-Qadsiah 2.99 xG, Al-Shabab 3.55 xG
  • Possession64%36%Al-Qadsiah 64%, Al-Shabab 36%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersAl-Qadsiah 13 corners, Al-Shabab 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsAl-Qadsiah 8 fouls, Al-Shabab 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAl-Qadsiah 1 card, Al-Shabab 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mahnashi · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 13′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOtávio · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 16′ · 0.12 xG · goalAli Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 35′ · 0.16 xG · goalUnai Hernández · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAli Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 48′ · 0.23 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 38′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 7′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 7′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 74′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 7′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 65′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.40 xG · goalJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.50 xG · on targetAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 88′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Qadisiyah FC: 26 shots, 8 on target, 3.15 xG. Al Shabab: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.05 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Christopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 16′Mateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′Ali Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3.15 xG · Al Shabab 2.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Qadsiah
0Draws
1Al-Shabab
Al-Shabab — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–3
Al-Shabab — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–3
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah29 matchesAl-Shabab28 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/281.29 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.5 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/261.57 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2813.2 shots/match
5.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/284.71 shots/match
60.2% ●Possession29/2847.8%
7.48 corners/match ●Corners29/285.32 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards27/262.31 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls29/2811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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