Saudi Pro League · 2025King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Al Najma 2–1 Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

2–1Historical match

Neom SC

LLDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al Najma won 2–1.

Shots
633
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.552.35
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Najma beat NEOM 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al Najma – NEOM): shots 6–33, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.55–2.35, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEOM's recent record differs from the season

moderate

NEOM's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for NEOM.

7.92 days ▲Rest daysAl Najma · NEOM2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl NajmaNEOMBaseline
Rest days7.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

NEOM show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NEOM's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.04 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Najma · NEOM13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl NajmaNEOMBaseline
Shots9.04 shots/match13.1 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots33 shotsAl Najma 6 shots, Neom SC 33 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAl Najma 4 shots, Neom SC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG2.35 xGAl Najma 0.55 xG, Neom SC 2.35 xG
  • Possession24%76%Al Najma 24%, Neom SC 76%
  • Corners3 corners22 cornersAl Najma 3 corners, Neom SC 22 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsAl Najma 12 fouls, Neom SC 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAl Najma 1 card, Neom SC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hegazy · NEOM · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Zeze · NEOM · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · NEOM · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Zeze · NEOM · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayane Messi · NEOM · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayane Messi · NEOM · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitor Vargas · Al Najma · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFaris Abdi · NEOM · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayane Messi · NEOM · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAla'a Al-Hejji · NEOM · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBilal Boutobba · Al Najma · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuga · Al Najma · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · NEOM · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAla'a Al-Hejji · NEOM · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBilal Boutobba · Al Najma · 47′ · 0.05 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMuhannad Al Saad · NEOM · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMuhannad Al Saad · NEOM · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hegazy · NEOM · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAla'a Al-Hejji · NEOM · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · NEOM · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNabil Donga · Al Najma · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Abdu · NEOM · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hegazy · NEOM · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al Aqal · Al Najma · 43′ · 0.30 xG · goalAbdoulaye Doucouré · NEOM · 85′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · NEOM · 85′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · NEOM · 56′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Najma: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.54 xG. NEOM: 33 shots, 4 on target, 2.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Mohammed Al Aqal · Al Najma · 43′Bilal Boutobba · Al Najma · 47′Amadou Koné · NEOM · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Najma 0.54 xG · NEOM 2.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al Najma
0Draws
1Neom SC
Neom SC — Al Najma · Saudi Pro League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Najma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Neom SC in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Najma28 matchesNeom SC29 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
2.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals26/27▲ 1.42 xG/match
9.04 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 4.72 shots/match
45.6%Possession28/29● 53%
3.71 corners/matchCorners28/29● 4.97 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards26/252 cards/match
9.57 fouls/matchFouls28/2911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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