Saudi Pro League · 2025Al Taawon Arena

Al-Taawoun 3–2 Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Taawoun won 3–2.

Shots
148
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.971.07
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Taawon beat Al-Fateh 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al Taawon – Al-Fateh): shots 14–8, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.97–1.07, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Taawon's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al Taawon's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Taawon.

6 days ▲Rest daysAl Taawon · Al-Fateh8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl TaawonAl-FatehBaseline
Rest days6 days8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsAl-Taawoun 14 shots, Al-Fateh 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsAl-Taawoun 7 shots, Al-Fateh 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.97 xG1.07 xGAl-Taawoun 2.97 xG, Al-Fateh 1.07 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Taawoun 56%, Al-Fateh 44%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersAl-Taawoun 5 corners, Al-Fateh 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsAl-Taawoun 15 fouls, Al-Fateh 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAl-Taawoun 0 cards, Al-Fateh 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roger Martínez · Al Taawon · 63′ · 0.02 xG · goalZaydou Youssouf · Al-Fateh · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarin Petkov · Al Taawon · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJorge Fernandes · Al-Fateh · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFahad Zubaidi · Al-Fateh · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Al Obod · Al-Fateh · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · Al Taawon · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedQasim Lajami · Al Taawon · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAli Al Masoud · Al-Fateh · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 18′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMarin Petkov · Al Taawon · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFernando Pacheco · Al Taawon · 59′ · 0.20 xG · goalSofiane Bendebka · Al-Fateh · 35′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFahad Zubaidi · Al-Fateh · 27′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al-Qahtani · Al Taawon · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMarin Petkov · Al Taawon · 23′ · 0.24 xG · on targetRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 85′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJefferson Ramos · Al-Fateh · 68′ · 0.39 xG · goalMarin Petkov · Al Taawon · 67′ · 0.81 xG · on targetRoger Martínez · Al Taawon · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Taawon: 15 shots, 8 on target, 3.17 xG. Al-Fateh: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Roger Martínez · Al Taawon · 45′Fernando Pacheco · Al Taawon · 59′Roger Martínez · Al Taawon · 63′Jefferson Ramos · Al-Fateh · 68′Ali Al Masoud · Al-Fateh · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Taawon 3.17 xG · Al-Fateh 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Taawoun
1Draws
1Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League2–5
Al-Fateh — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League1–2
Al-Taawoun — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Taawoun — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League1–3
Al-Fateh — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Taawoun favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Fateh in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Taawoun25 matchesAl-Fateh25 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.36 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.84 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.59 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.68 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession25/2545.2%
3.84 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.4 corners/match
2.32 cards/matchCards25/252.6 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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