Saudi Pro League · 2025Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al-Shabab 3–5 Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

3–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Hilal won 3–5.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
0.841.76
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Shabab 5–3. Recorded in this match (Al Shabab – Al-Hilal Saudi FC): shots 12–14, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 0.84–1.76, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Shabab's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Shabab, Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

4 days ▲Rest daysAl Shabab · Al-Hilal Saudi FC3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl ShababAl-Hilal Saudi FCBaseline
Rest days4 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al Shabab have a visible home split

moderate

Al Shabab's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsAl-Shabab 12 shots, Al-Hilal 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsAl-Shabab 7 shots, Al-Hilal 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.76 xGAl-Shabab 0.84 xG, Al-Hilal 1.76 xG
  • Possession48%52%Al-Shabab 48%, Al-Hilal 52%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAl-Shabab 2 corners, Al-Hilal 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAl-Shabab 11 fouls, Al-Hilal 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAl-Shabab 1 card, Al-Hilal 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Theo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 75′ · 0.01 xG · goalRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMalcom · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFawaz Al-Sagour · Al Shabab · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSultan Mandash · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSaimon Bouabre · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSultan Mandash · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 48′ · 0.11 xG · goalKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kanno · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 19′ · 0.13 xG · goalTheo Hernández · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 44′ · 0.14 xG · goalMohammed Al-Thani · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 13′ · 0.17 xG · goalAli Al-Bulaihi · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 31′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 52′ · 0.30 xG · goalMarcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 45′ · 0.32 xG · on targetKalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Shabab: 12 shots, 7 on target, 0.84 xG. Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Josh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 13′Abderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 44′Yacine Adli · Al Shabab · 75′Mohamed Kanno · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 19′Ali Al-Bulaihi · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 31′Kalidou Koulibaly · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 45′Sultan Mandash · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 48′Marcos Leonardo · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Shabab 0.84 xG · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Shabab
1Draws
4Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Hilal — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League1–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League3–4
Al-Hilal — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Shabab favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Shabab24 matchesAl-Hilal24 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.58 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals22/24▲ 2.39 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 7 shots/match
47.1%Possession24/24● 59.6%
5.04 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.42 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards24/241.54 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls24/249.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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