Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Riyadh 0–1 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

0–1Historical match

Al-Ahli

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 0–1.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
06
Expected goals
1.231.51
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Riyadh 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al Riyadh – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 13–15, shots on target 0–6, expected goals 1.23–1.51, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Ahli Jeddah's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Riyadh, Al-Ahli Jeddah.

3 days ▲Rest daysAl Riyadh · Al-Ahli Jeddah3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl RiyadhAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al Riyadh show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al Riyadh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Riyadh · Al-Ahli Jeddah13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl RiyadhAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match8.58 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsAl-Riyadh 13 shots, Al-Ahli 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots6 shotsAl-Riyadh 0 shots, Al-Ahli 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.51 xGAl-Riyadh 1.23 xG, Al-Ahli 1.51 xG
  • Possession47%53%Al-Riyadh 47%, Al-Ahli 53%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersAl-Riyadh 0 corners, Al-Ahli 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsAl-Riyadh 12 fouls, Al-Ahli 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsAl-Riyadh 1 card, Al-Ahli 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 68′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAbdulelah Al Khaibari · Al Riyadh · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFranck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antunes · Al Riyadh · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTozé · Al Riyadh · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeddy Okou · Al Riyadh · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antunes · Al Riyadh · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Antunes · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTozé · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmmar Al Harfi · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Gonçalves · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTozé · Al Riyadh · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeddy Okou · Al Riyadh · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetValentin Atangana Edoa · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFiras Al-Buraikan · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTeddy Okou · Al Riyadh · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedZiyad Aljohani · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetZiyad Aljohani · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLeandro Antunes · Al Riyadh · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 5′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMilan Borjan · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 75′ · 0.26 xG · goalTeddy Okou · Al Riyadh · 25′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 53′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Riyadh: 13 shots, 0 on target, 0.95 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Milan Borjan · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Riyadh 0.95 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Riyadh
1Draws
3Al-Ahli
Al-Ahli — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League5–0
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Riyadh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Riyadh24 matchesAl-Ahli24 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals22/24▲ 1.93 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5.42 shots/match
41.9%Possession24/24● 49.6%
5.08 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.42 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards24/232.83 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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