Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Damac 1–3 Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League

Damac

LLDLW
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Shabab won 1–3.

Shots
189
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.860.92
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Shabab beat Damac 3–1. Recorded in this match (Damac – Al Shabab): shots 18–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.86–0.92, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Shabab's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al Shabab have a visible away split

moderate

Al Shabab's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Damac show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Damac's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsDamac · Al Shabab12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDamacAl ShababBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsDamac 18 shots, Al-Shabab 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsDamac 5 shots, Al-Shabab 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.92 xGDamac 1.86 xG, Al-Shabab 0.92 xG
  • Possession48%52%Damac 48%, Al-Shabab 52%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersDamac 6 corners, Al-Shabab 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsDamac 8 fouls, Al-Shabab 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsDamac 1 card, Al-Shabab 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arielson · Damac · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArielson · Damac · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetValentín Vada · Damac · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaad Yaslam Balobaid · Al Shabab · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTariq Mohammed · Damac · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Al-Qahtani · Damac · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdullah Al-Qahtani · Damac · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorlaye Sylla · Damac · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorlaye Sylla · Damac · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al Sadi · Damac · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdelkader Bedrane · Damac · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 84′ · 0.05 xG · goalJonathan Okita · Damac · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Vada · Damac · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArielson · Damac · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedValentín Vada · Damac · 30′ · 0.16 xG · goalSaad Yaslam Balobaid · Al Shabab · 58′ · 0.17 xG · goalAbdullah Al-Qahtani · Damac · 51′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al Sadi · Damac · 65′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedArielson · Damac · 4′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 18′ · 0.45 xG · goalYahya Naji · Damac · 90′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Damac: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG. Al Shabab: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Valentín Vada · Damac · 30′Abderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 18′Saad Yaslam Balobaid · Al Shabab · 58′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Damac 1.85 xG · Al Shabab 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Damac
2Draws
2Al-Shabab
Al-Shabab — Damac · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Shabab — Damac · Saudi Pro League2–0
Damac — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League1–0
Damac — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Shabab — Damac · Saudi Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Damac favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Shabab in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Damac22 matchesAl-Shabab22 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.45 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.29 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12.1 shots/match
2.73 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.05 shots/match
46.7%Possession22/22● 47.1%
4.09 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.18 corners/match
2.27 cards/matchCards22/222.45 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Feb 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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