Saudi Pro League · 2025Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al-Shabab 2–5 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

2–5Historical match

Al-Ahli

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 2–5.

Shots
615
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.273.57
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Shabab 5–2. Recorded in this match (Al Shabab – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.27–3.57, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Ahli Jeddah's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.9 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al Shabab have a visible home split

moderate

Al Shabab's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al Shabab show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Al Shabab's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Shabab · Al-Ahli Jeddah13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl ShababAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match8.24 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsAl-Shabab 6 shots, Al-Ahli 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsAl-Shabab 2 shots, Al-Ahli 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG3.57 xGAl-Shabab 1.27 xG, Al-Ahli 3.57 xG
  • Possession58%42%Al-Shabab 58%, Al-Ahli 42%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAl-Shabab 4 corners, Al-Ahli 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsAl-Shabab 11 fouls, Al-Ahli 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAl-Shabab 0 cards, Al-Ahli 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 33′ · 0.03 xG · goalFranck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFranck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 11′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAbderazak Hamdallah · Al Shabab · 88′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAli Al Azaizeh · Al Shabab · 88′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRayan Hamed · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 6′ · 0.27 xG · goalRiyad Mahrez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 25′ · 0.36 xG · goalEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 61′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedFranck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 20′ · 0.47 xG · goalEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 34′ · 0.66 xG · goalYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 44′ · 0.82 xG · goalIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Shabab: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.30 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 15 shots, 8 on target, 3.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 33′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 44′Rayan Hamed · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 6′Franck Kessié · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 20′Riyad Mahrez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 25′Enzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 34′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Shabab 1.30 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Shabab
2Draws
2Al-Ahli
Al-Ahli — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Shabab — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League1–2
Al-Ahli — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Shabab favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Shabab21 matchesAl-Ahli21 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals19/21▲ 1.94 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.43 shots/match
46.9%Possession21/21● 49.5%
5.1 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.19 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards21/203.05 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 17:55 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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