Saudi Pro League · 2025Al Fateh club stadium

Al-Fateh 0–2 Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 0–2.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.851.32
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Al-Fateh 2–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Fateh – Al-Nassr): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.85–1.32, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Nassr show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Al-Nassr's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Fateh · Al-Nassr18.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FatehAl-NassrBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match18.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match7.14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.52 corners/matchCornersAl-Fateh · Al-Nassr● 7.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-FatehAl-NassrBaseline
Corners5.52 corners/match7.29 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsAl-Fateh 11 shots, Al-Nassr 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAl-Fateh 4 shots, Al-Nassr 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.32 xGAl-Fateh 0.85 xG, Al-Nassr 1.32 xG
  • Possession51%49%Al-Fateh 51%, Al-Nassr 49%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAl-Fateh 8 corners, Al-Nassr 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsAl-Fateh 10 fouls, Al-Nassr 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAl-Fateh 1 card, Al-Nassr 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mourad Batna · Al-Fateh · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Bendebka · Al-Fateh · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWesley Delgado · Al-Fateh · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMourad Batna · Al-Fateh · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMourad Batna · Al-Fateh · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatías Vargas · Al-Fateh · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSadio Mané · Al-Nassr · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdulaziz Al-Swealem · Al-Fateh · 24′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Al-Nassr · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAyman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 78′ · 0.11 xG · goalSaeed Baattia · Al-Fateh · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarwane Saadane · Al-Fateh · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJorge Fernandes · Al-Fateh · 39′ · 0.15 xG · on targetIñigo Martínez · Al-Nassr · 28′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarwane Saadane · Al-Fateh · 80′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 18′ · 0.20 xG · goalKingsley Coman · Al-Nassr · 11′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Fateh: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.85 xG. Al-Nassr: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cristiano Ronaldo · Al-Nassr · 18′Ayman Yahya · Al-Nassr · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Fateh 0.85 xG · Al-Nassr 1.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Fateh
0Draws
4Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League5–1
Al-Fateh — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Nassr — Al-Fateh · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Fateh — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fateh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Nassr in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fateh21 matchesAl-Nassr21 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 2.52 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals20/21▲ 2.15 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 18.6 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 6.67 shots/match
44.5%Possession21/21● 59.6%
5.52 corners/matchCorners21/21● 7.29 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards21/212 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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