Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadsiah 1–0 Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

1–0Historical match

Neom SC

DLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
1.10.75
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat NEOM 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadisiyah FC – NEOM): shots 10–9, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 1.1–0.75, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.19 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Qadisiyah FC, NEOM.

5 days ▲Rest daysAl-Qadisiyah FC · NEOM6.13 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCNEOMBaseline
Rest days5 days6.13 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsAl-Qadsiah 10 shots, Neom SC 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsAl-Qadsiah 1 shot, Neom SC 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.75 xGAl-Qadsiah 1.1 xG, Neom SC 0.75 xG
  • Possession63%37%Al-Qadsiah 63%, Neom SC 37%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersAl-Qadsiah 10 corners, Neom SC 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsAl-Qadsiah 17 fouls, Neom SC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsAl-Qadsiah 4 cards, Neom SC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amadou Koné · NEOM · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWaleed Al-Ahmed · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Koné · NEOM · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hegazy · NEOM · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAli Hazazi · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · NEOM · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · NEOM · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalLuciano Rodríguez · NEOM · 5′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRayane Messi · NEOM · 73′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 3′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Qadisiyah FC: 10 shots, 1 on target, 1.11 xG. NEOM: 9 shots, 7 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.11 xG · NEOM 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Qadsiah
0Draws
0Neom SC
Neom SC — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Neom SC in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah21 matchesNeom SC21 matches
2.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.24 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/191.37 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target21/214.48 shots/match
59.1% ●Possession21/2152.1%
7.1 corners/match ●Corners21/214.38 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards21/202 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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