Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadsiah 2–2 Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah and Al-Hilal drew 2–2.

Shots
719
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.962.84
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Hilal Saudi FC): shots 7–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.96–2.84, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.39 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.56 corners/matchCornersAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Hilal Saudi FC● 6.89 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCBaseline
Corners6.56 corners/match6.89 corners/match4.75 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Qadisiyah FC, Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

4.09 days ▲Rest daysAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Hilal Saudi FC4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCAl-Hilal Saudi FCBaseline
Rest days4.09 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots19 shotsAl-Qadsiah 7 shots, Al-Hilal 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAl-Qadsiah 3 shots, Al-Hilal 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG2.84 xGAl-Qadsiah 0.96 xG, Al-Hilal 2.84 xG
  • Possession44%56%Al-Qadsiah 44%, Al-Hilal 56%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersAl-Qadsiah 4 corners, Al-Hilal 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsAl-Qadsiah 17 fouls, Al-Hilal 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsAl-Qadsiah 3 cards, Al-Hilal 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 13′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 20′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 57′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 61′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 73′ · 0.00 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHassan Tambakti · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHassan Tambakti · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergej Milinković-Savić · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNacho Fernández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMalcom · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 8′ · 0.10 xG · goalNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 10′ · 0.10 xG · goalJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 76′ · 0.10 xG · goalSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalSalem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 53′ · 0.74 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Qadisiyah FC: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.27 xG. Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 10′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 76′Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 8′Salem Al-Dawsari · Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Qadisiyah FC 0.27 xG · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Qadsiah
1Draws
1Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Hilal — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Hilal · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Hilal in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah18 matchesAl-Hilal18 matches
2.39 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 2.61 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed18/181 goal/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 2.42 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 7 shots/match
58.3%Possession18/18● 59.8%
6.56 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.89 corners/match
1.78 cards/matchCards18/181.72 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls18/189.39 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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