Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Al-Qadsiah 2–1 Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 2–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.911.42
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Ittihad FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadisiyah FC – Al-Ittihad FC): shots 10–9, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.91–1.42, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al-Qadisiyah FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.6 goals/match2.38 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.94 corners/matchCornersAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Ittihad FC6.94 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCAl-Ittihad FCBaseline
Corners6.94 corners/match6.94 corners/match4.59 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Qadisiyah FC, Al-Ittihad FC.

4.09 days ▲Rest daysAl-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Ittihad FC6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-Qadisiyah FCAl-Ittihad FCBaseline
Rest days4.09 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsAl-Qadsiah 10 shots, Al-Ittihad 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsAl-Qadsiah 2 shots, Al-Ittihad 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG1.42 xGAl-Qadsiah 1.91 xG, Al-Ittihad 1.42 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Qadsiah 56%, Al-Ittihad 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAl-Qadsiah 5 corners, Al-Ittihad 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsAl-Qadsiah 14 fouls, Al-Ittihad 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsAl-Qadsiah 3 cards, Al-Ittihad 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Houssem Aouar · Al-Ittihad FC · 3′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNacho Fernández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 40′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 43′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Doumbia · Al-Ittihad FC · 49′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 56′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 77′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Doumbia · Al-Ittihad FC · 83′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Al-Ittihad FC · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHoussem Aouar · Al-Ittihad FC · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHoussem Aouar · Al-Ittihad FC · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdulaziz Al-Bishi · Al-Ittihad FC · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Pereira · Al-Ittihad FC · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 59′ · 0.12 xG · goalJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 37′ · 0.24 xG · goalKarim Benzema · Al-Ittihad FC · 29′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Qadisiyah FC: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG. Al-Ittihad FC: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 37′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 59′Karim Benzema · Al-Ittihad FC · 29′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Qadisiyah FC 0.40 xG · Al-Ittihad FC 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Qadsiah
1Draws
1Al-Ittihad
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Ittihad — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah16 matchesAl-Ittihad16 matches
2.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.81 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.92 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.56 shots/match
58.9%Possession16/16● 62.1%
6.94 corners/matchCorners16/166.94 corners/match
1.81 cards/matchCards16/162.13 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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