Saudi Pro League · 2025Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Al-Shabab 3–2 Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

3–2Historical match

Neom SC

DWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Shabab won 3–2.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.691.22
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al Shabab beat NEOM 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al Shabab – NEOM): shots 19–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.69–1.22, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al Shabab.

5.1 days ▲Rest daysAl Shabab · NEOM4.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl ShababNEOMBaseline
Rest days5.1 days4.15 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al Shabab have a visible home split

moderate

Al Shabab's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Al Shabab's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al Shabab's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsAl-Shabab 19 shots, Neom SC 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsAl-Shabab 9 shots, Neom SC 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG1.22 xGAl-Shabab 2.69 xG, Neom SC 1.22 xG
  • Possession42%58%Al-Shabab 42%, Neom SC 58%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAl-Shabab 2 corners, Neom SC 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsAl-Shabab 13 fouls, Neom SC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAl-Shabab 2 cards, Neom SC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wesley Hoedt · Al Shabab · 20′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 23′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 30′ · 0.00 xG · on targetCarlos Junior · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSaad Yaslam Balobaid · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 53′ · 0.00 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 60′ · 0.00 xG · on targetUnai Hernández · Al Shabab · 64′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 66′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al Sadi · Al Shabab · 81′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al Sadi · Al Shabab · 83′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNawaf Al Sadi · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNathan Zeze · NEOM · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYacine Adli · Al Shabab · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · NEOM · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hegazy · NEOM · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai Hernández · Al Shabab · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Zeze · NEOM · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Junior · Al Shabab · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · NEOM · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSaimon Bouabre · NEOM · 6′ · 0.10 xG · goalSaïd Benrahma · NEOM · 49′ · 0.10 xG · goalYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 61′ · 0.10 xG · goalAhmed Abdu · NEOM · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetHammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 4′ · 0.17 xG · goalYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 57′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Shabab: 19 shots, 9 on target, 1.14 xG. NEOM: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 4′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 57′Yannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 61′Saimon Bouabre · NEOM · 6′Saïd Benrahma · NEOM · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Shabab 1.14 xG · NEOM 0.53 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Shabab favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Neom SC in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Shabab14 matchesNeom SC14 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots14/1412.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.43 shots/match
44.1%Possession14/14● 52.6%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners14/144.43 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards14/132.15 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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