Saudi Pro League · 2025Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City

Al Okhdood 0–1 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

0–1Historical match

Al-Ahli

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 0–1.

Shots
512
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.791.82
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Okhdood 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al Okhdood – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 5–12, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.79–1.82, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al Okhdood's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Al Okhdood's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al Okhdood show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Al Okhdood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.85 shots/match ▲ShotsAl Okhdood · Al-Ahli Jeddah13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl OkhdoodAl-Ahli JeddahBaseline
Shots7.85 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match8.85 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Al Okhdood have a visible home split

moderate

Al Okhdood's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.85 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match7.85 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsAl Okhdood 5 shots, Al-Ahli 12 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsAl Okhdood 0 shots, Al-Ahli 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.82 xGAl Okhdood 0.79 xG, Al-Ahli 1.82 xG
  • Possession51%49%Al Okhdood 51%, Al-Ahli 49%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersAl Okhdood 3 corners, Al-Ahli 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsAl Okhdood 10 fouls, Al-Ahli 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsAl Okhdood 4 cards, Al-Ahli 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matheus Gonçalves · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 9′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSaleh Al-Harthi · Al Okhdood · 10′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedZiyad Aljohani · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 24′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Gonçalves · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 68′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedZiyad Aljohani · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 80′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAli Al-Salem · Al Okhdood · 90′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 38′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli Al-Salem · Al Okhdood · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBurak İnce · Al Okhdood · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSaeed Al-Rabiei · Al Okhdood · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 58′ · 0.11 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Okhdood: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.11 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Okhdood 0.11 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 0.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al Okhdood
1Draws
1Al-Ahli
Al Okhdood — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ahli — Al Okhdood · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al Okhdood — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League3–2
Al-Ahli — Al Okhdood · Saudi Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al Okhdood favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al Okhdood13 matchesAl-Ahli13 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.59 xG/match
7.85 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.15 shots/match
41.8%Possession13/13● 49.7%
4.46 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.46 corners/match
2.77 cards/matchCards13/123.08 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

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